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Ownership, reserves and power-law outcomes

Venture Capital simulator

Your seat: Investment team, early-stage fund

Most of what you fund will fail. That's expected. The job is owning enough of the few that work, and backing them again once the evidence shows up.

What you'll learn

  • Why ownership at entry and reserve discipline decide fund returns
  • How paper markups borrow credibility from an exit you do not control
  • What structure in a down round does to the people who create the outcome

Who it's for

Anyone targeting venture capital, growth equity or startup finance.

It works as interview prep: you'll have made the calls an interviewer asks about, and seen what happens when you get them wrong.

Decisions from your first year

Three calls a year. Here's the kind of thing that lands on your desk before your first promotion.

Seed round

Two founders, no revenue, a hot round

A climate-hardware seed is raising $6m at $30m post. The team is exceptional, the market is unproven, and another fund has offered to pre-empt at $40m tomorrow.

Follow-on

Reserve the follow-on or spray the seeds

You have $40m of undeployed capital. You can seed twelve more companies or hold reserves to defend ownership in the four that are working.

Governance

The founder you backed is not the CEO you need

Your best portfolio company has tripled revenue and lost three executives in six months. The board wants an outside CEO; the founder threatens to leave.

The ladder

Each rank has its own bar for returns and standing. Clear both to move up.

  1. Analyst
  2. Associate
  3. Principal
  4. Partner
  5. General Partner
  6. Managing Partner

Terms you'll use

Dry powder
Committed capital not yet deployed.
Multiple of money
Total cash out divided by cash in.
IRR
The annualised rate of return, weighted by timing.
Carried interest
The manager's share of profits above a hurdle.

Other desks